No one is ever really qualified to be a stock market analyst who does not have some kind of a track record in analyzing the signs of the times. Now just to establish some credentials I thought I would point to Eden Wing press release that I sent out before the Summit of the Americas last spring, demonstrating, I thought, a real good ability to analyze a situation and predict just the right time to get into calling for a wing over a desert, which surely must count for something. I also during that weekend asked churches to write down the following call and save it in a safe place the gist of it being 'Eden Wing 2002 - Next year in Eden.' On the down side I also remember warning about a California earthquake, and mad cow disease, and this spring I have seen the first signs of Eden, concurrent with shaking California, both of these signs emerging at the same time, and also the first signs of mad cow disease in the United States. These bad signs were conditional, I said, and contigent on whether or not the peaceful policies I was advocating were adopted or not, while Eden is fixed and carved in stone in any case. So I am not completely without any credentials whatsoever, and thus am at least as qualified to make calls as any stock analyst. Granted, picking times for a wing is not quite the same as picking the timing for buying stocks so there may be those who remain quite skeptical of my stock picking abilities, but be that as it may I thought I would nevertheless expand my horizons and get into the stock picking business as well.
With California quaking and Eden showing signs of life it has occured to me that there are probably bound to be some nervous jumpy people out there wondering what to do with their stocks. Everyday you can hear analysts analyzing the stock market and naming their 'play of the day' and declaring this stock a buy, that one a hold, and this other one a sell. Unfortunately none of them really seem to be prophets of that stock market, as I can tell just by listening to them myself, since they do give some really bad advice that no investor should seriously consider taking, unless they want to risk losing their shirt.
For instance, it is quite commong to hear that now with the 'war on terrorism' on and everything, well some of the market performers as they are called, will be all the various bomb making stocks. Any stock that has anything to do with bombing, well, even in a time of uncertainty and yo-yo bouncing in the markets, well at least one thing you can always count in is that at least those bomb stocks will be real market performers. This would seem to be a consensus opinion among the analysts, and is also a classic example of how maybe you just should't follow the herd sometimes, and do your own thinking for a change, since, according to my analysis of the market, which long term, I think will prove to be much better than those analysts, those bomb stocks will prove to be major disappointment, a true market underperformer, and a real dog. Yes, it could prove to be quite difficult in the future to even give those bomb stocks away, and thus those things would be the worst stocks to get stuck with long term.
Now over the years I have grown accustomed to the idea that no one listens to the things I say, even when I pull off a stunt like that Eden Wing thing last year, which is tragic to say the least, and in particular it is just tragic if you happen to be one of those people who is buying stocks, and winds up listening to analysts instead of listening to a prophet, and thus winds up losing your shirt because you were dumb enough to ignore really good advice and followed the herd and loaded up on those trustworthy and sure thing bomb stocks instead.
Now I do not have any specific stock picks for you, assuming you are a person with even a modicum of common sense, but rather what I have to offer are few general principles to guide the cautious investor trying to navigate the uncertainties of todays yo yo stock market. The first principle is simply this - you do not want to touch any of those bomb stocks with a ten foot pole, and really, if you are smart, you should sell those bomb stocks to someone else while the selling is still good, so you don't wind up getting stuck with those things later when they will prove to be so worthless you won't even be able to give them away. If you are in a business directly related to those bomb stocks, my advice would be to begin thinking real long and hard about all the ways you could retool to a peaceful business dedicated to the soon to be booming industry of lifting people out of poverty and making the world a better place, so you don't wind up going bankrupt in the not so distant future.
Now agriculture would be a good pick, but cow meat would not be a good pick. Mad cow disease is already present in the United States, a bad sign, and something that will be getting a lot worse before it gets any better. Various building and construction enterprises sound good to me, you know with slums that need fixing. Anything to do with water, filtering water, pumping water, these seem to be good picks. Any stocks that have to do with eating and feeding people, storing food so it doesn't go bad, transportation, trucks sound good, big ones, to ship food and building materials around, these sound like good stock plays, perhaps not right at this very moment, but remember, a good stock picker always examines the trends and thinks long term, and always hopes to get into the market at the bottom before it gets good later, and before everyone else figures out that its good, right. Now keep in mind that world defense spending is up in the trillions, just piling up into the trillions and trillions and you can see right there how profitable the peaceful industries of doing good to the planet will be right there, and that's not even including all the other possible sources of income likely to emerge when for example, despotic robber tyrants finally face justice and start coughing up the loot and pillage. Who knows how much money that could turn out to be, but just take that one crook from Africa, as an example, who pillaged an estimated one hundred billion himself, and Marcos in the Philipines and his cronies, billions and billions there as well, well consider it well and you can see just how profitable this whole peace and justice thing could turn out to be at the end of it all, not to mention giving you a nice warm fuzzy feeling on the inside, something bomb stocks just can't do, unless its money itself that makes you feel warm and fuzzy, but that sort of thing just doesn't last.
As for warring and blowing things up, that won't be profitable at all, but rather a real good way to lose your shirt. I realize that my investment advice goes against the investment advice of all those other analysts out there, but I haven't done to terribly bad, and I do have a bit of track record, so its not like I am just shooting air, you know, but I guess I will just analyze that stock market myself, and toss my stock picks out there along with all the rest of them, and let time be the judge at the end of it all...
Now no analyst worth anything would analyze that stock market without considering all the possibilities, and therefore, it seems to me, that should we not do the peaceful policies, within is certainly possible, and should there be a terrible California earthquake, and should that mad cow disease actually become known instead of being hidden away as it is now, well that would be bad for stocks, causing that stock market to take a nose dive like it did after 9-11, but, once again thinking long term, it would seem to me that the wise and cautious investor might want to ride that catastrophe out by adopting the long term strategy and hanging onto those peaceful world healing world helping types of stocks. After all there is nothing quite like Keynesian spending policies to end a depression, and given that no one will be able to bomb there way out of that whole like they did after world war 2 you can see how the incentive would actually be there to make the world a better place instead, and we have been told that this sort of spending actually stimulates the economy even more than military spending, so you can see then, how no matter how you look it, getting into peacefulness is a good strategy either way, even if no one else does, and is just the perfect place to be to ride that market back up to something half decent, while those people who decided to just ignore a prophet and go with those bomb stocks instead, get their just deserts and lose their shirts instead. Well for what its worth, that's my analysis and everyone can feel free to make out of it whatever they wish...
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